Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.019993 0.021557 0.023185 0.025007 0.026992 0.029089 0.031475
2025-11-16 0.017119 0.019322 0.021735 0.024579 0.027846 0.031491 0.035876
2025-11-23 0.015399 0.017979 0.020912 0.024507 0.028808 0.033808 0.040090
2025-11-30 0.014058 0.016864 0.020153 0.024311 0.029455 0.035644 0.043703
2025-12-07 0.013021 0.015985 0.019549 0.024180 0.030075 0.037381 0.047200
2025-12-14 0.012129 0.015193 0.018964 0.023981 0.030532 0.038870 0.050398
2025-12-21 0.011475 0.014641 0.018620 0.024030 0.031264 0.040700 0.054097
2025-12-28 0.010828 0.014047 0.018169 0.023888 0.031701 0.042124 0.057290
2026-01-04 0.010297 0.013567 0.017828 0.023851 0.032249 0.043695 0.060739
2026-01-11 0.009868 0.013194 0.017600 0.023940 0.032950 0.045486 0.064577
2026-01-18 0.009460 0.012823 0.017347 0.023966 0.033548 0.047139 0.068282
2026-01-25 0.009081 0.012469 0.017094 0.023969 0.034095 0.048728 0.071961
2026-02-01 0.008565 0.011913 0.016552 0.023558 0.034060 0.049522 0.074590
2026-02-08 0.008084 0.011385 0.016026 0.023144 0.033998 0.050277 0.077216
2026-02-15 0.007743 0.011042 0.015746 0.023074 0.034442 0.051811 0.081160
2026-02-22 0.007398 0.010673 0.015407 0.022891 0.034691 0.053042 0.084669
2026-03-01 0.007095 0.010352 0.015121 0.022768 0.035018 0.054398 0.088455
2026-03-08 0.006797 0.010025 0.014808 0.022582 0.035224 0.055560 0.091969
2026-03-15 0.006579 0.009806 0.014650 0.022628 0.035802 0.057350 0.096668
2026-03-22 0.006331 0.009532 0.014390 0.022495 0.036072 0.058629 0.100536
2026-03-29 0.006122 0.009308 0.014198 0.022461 0.036499 0.060189 0.104996
2026-04-05 0.005952 0.009138 0.014083 0.022543 0.037122 0.062113 0.110237
2026-04-12 0.005779 0.008955 0.013939 0.022568 0.037642 0.063875 0.115284